Tag fires fail silently, and Smart Bidding will retrain on the bad signal within 24h. Catch fast.
At a glance
The single most consequential alert in this connector. The Google Ads conversion tag fires from your site to Google whenever someone purchases. If that tag breaks (a developer ships a deploy, a GTM container is overwritten, a cookie banner blocks the script), conversions stop reaching Google and Smart Bidding retrains on the bad signal within 24 hours, redirecting spend toward worse audiences before you notice. The alert watches click-to-conversion ratio in real time and flags the moment the ratio falls off baseline, hours faster than ROAS-based alerts.
Calculation
Calculated automatically from your Google Ads data. See the At a glance summary above for what the metric tracks and the worked example below for a typical reading.Worked example
A UK fashion brand. Tuesday 14 Apr 26, 11:30 local. The alert fires at 13:00 with the message “Conversion tracking likely broken: click-to-conversion ratio at 240% of baseline since 11:30.”
What this scenario tells the analyst:
- The alert fires while the ROAS card still looks fine. ROAS is a daily aggregate; at 13:00 the morning bad data is masked by yesterday’s full-day good data. The conversion-tracking-broken alert catches it within 90 minutes; ROAS-based alerts typically catch it 18-24 hours later. This is the “save your day” alert.
- By 13:00 Smart Bidding has already started misbehaving. Smart Bidding feeds on conversion signals; with conversions stalled to zero, it sees high-CPC clicks producing nothing and starts shifting bids toward less-competitive (worse) auctions. By 18:00, your campaigns are bidding on the wrong inventory; by tomorrow morning, Smart Bidding has retrained on 12 hours of bad signal and recovery takes 7-14 days even after the tag is fixed.
- Diagnostic checklist (in order):
- Open the order-confirmation page in incognito. Place a £1 test order. Watch Tag Assistant or GTM debugger for the AW-XXXX/conversion fire.
- If the tag does NOT fire: check (a) was a deploy made to the success page in the last 24 hours? (b) was a GTM container republished? (c) was a cookie-consent change made (CMP blocking the tag)? Fix immediately.
- If the tag DOES fire on test order but not on real orders: the issue is conditional logic, perhaps a customer-segment filter, a JS error on certain product types, or a checkout flow change that bypasses the success page entirely.
- Cross-check GA4 Realtime > Conversions; if GA4 also shows the drop, the issue is the broader tag layer (GTM, CMP), not the Google Ads pixel specifically.
- Cross-check commerce platform (Shopify Orders > Today, BigCommerce Recent Orders); if real orders are happening, only measurement broke.
- Don’t pause campaigns on this alert. The traffic is converting in real life; only the measurement broke. Pausing campaigns would cost real revenue while you fix a measurement problem.
- After the fix, document the gap. If the tag was broken from 11:30-13:30, those 2 hours of conversion data are permanently lost. Smart Bidding will re-stabilise over 5-10 days. Mark this period in your reporting so future ROAS comparisons exclude it.
- Alert fires + commerce orders held = tag break, fix the pixel.
- Alert fires + commerce orders also dropped = real performance issue, this alert is a false positive in this case (or the conversion really did stop happening).
- Alert fires for less than 30 minutes then resolves = transient (a deploy that auto-rolled-back, a CDN cache flush). Note it.
- Alert fires WITH spend anomaly = could be bot traffic, not tag break. Different fix.
Sibling cards merchants should reference together
Reconciling against the vendor’s own dashboard
Where to look in Google Ads UI: Google Ads > Tools > Conversions. The conversion-action list shows status: “Recording conversions” (healthy), “No recent conversions” (warning, often a tag break), or “Tag inactive” (the tag isn’t reaching Google at all). This is where the issue surfaces FIRST in Google’s own UI; their warning is slower than this alert (typically 24-48 hours of no fires), but it confirms when it appears. Google Ads > Tools > Tag Assistant (separate tool) lets you simulate a conversion fire on any URL and verify the tag. Google Ads > Reports > Predefined > Time > Hour, with Click-to-Conv. ratio if available. The hourly view shows the broken-tracking signature clearly. Other Google Ads views that look like the same number but aren’t:- All conversions count: includes view-through. A primary-only drop with all-conversions stable is unusual but possible (one specific pixel broke).
- Predefined > Conversions report: shows per-conversion-action volume; useful for isolating WHICH conversion action broke.
- Search Lost IS: a coverage metric, irrelevant here.
- Tag Manager (GTM) preview mode: outside Google Ads, but the most diagnostic tool for confirming the tag fires.
Why the BUSINESS metric often differs (the IMPORTANT one):
A “conversion-tracking-broken” alert is not a revenue problem; it is a measurement problem. The crucial reconciliation:
- Real orders are still happening at the commerce platform; check Shopify/BigCommerce/Adobe Orders > Today.
- GA4 Realtime > Conversions may also show the drop (if the broader tag layer is broken) or may look normal (if only the Google Ads pixel broke).
- Smart Bidding starts misbehaving within 24 hours of bad signal. Even after fixing the tag, expect 5-10 days of campaign re-stabilisation. The lost data is permanent; document the gap.